Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.935595 2.207976 2.507069 2.860207 3.266220 3.718943 4.262780
2025-10-05 1.614698 1.988861 2.433902 3.003714 3.716042 4.579902 5.711225
2025-10-12 1.394665 1.832517 2.389700 3.154117 4.180958 5.520124 7.411360
2025-10-19 1.204228 1.672600 2.304339 3.224609 4.540968 6.371077 9.134533
2025-10-26 1.054862 1.538214 2.224396 3.278473 4.872971 7.220437 10.985695
2025-11-02 0.901554 1.371728 2.069789 3.193418 4.979377 7.746152 12.430479
2025-11-09 0.761370 1.202720 1.884487 3.028464 4.928982 8.011009 13.490096
2025-11-16 0.676132 1.106205 1.795703 2.998830 5.082957 8.612752 15.187218
2025-11-23 0.599935 1.013526 1.699557 2.940513 5.174798 9.114403 16.777886
2025-11-30 0.569858 0.993671 1.720722 3.083740 5.634072 10.315845 19.829570
2025-12-07 0.532599 0.956199 1.705836 3.158564 5.975876 11.346156 22.715669
2025-12-14 0.486832 0.897678 1.645758 3.140351 6.136260 12.049575 25.055410
2025-12-21 0.431621 0.816721 1.537581 3.021188 6.092652 12.365808 26.690787
2025-12-28 0.414072 0.805413 1.559909 3.162942 6.598868 13.879902 31.196592
2026-01-04 0.398845 0.796755 1.586179 3.316112 7.151738 15.578425 36.437686
2026-01-11 0.376436 0.770872 1.574549 3.387397 7.536581 16.967071 41.210691
2026-01-18 0.354657 0.743675 1.556783 3.442517 7.892487 18.343787 46.214879
2026-01-25 0.322650 0.691054 1.478880 3.352147 7.896230 18.889838 49.199371
2026-02-01 0.287569 0.627870 1.370866 3.178137 7.673846 18.849781 50.618756
2026-02-08 0.266881 0.594524 1.325590 3.146745 7.798481 19.698190 54.637173
2026-02-15 0.246097 0.558735 1.270818 3.085283 7.838149 20.333372 58.175662
2026-02-22 0.241075 0.558996 1.299864 3.235908 8.452030 22.591639 66.933297
2026-03-01 0.231719 0.547934 1.300675 3.314603 8.885375 24.426625 74.790746